Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.3%
Accrington
25.5%
Draw
22.2%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Accrington
vs
0.85
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
10.7%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.9%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.5%
4-0
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).