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01 May 2021 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.9%
Huesca
26.9%
Draw
33.2%
Sociedad

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Huesca

vs
1.22

Sociedad

Markets

BTTS52.8%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
1-0
10.0%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).