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23 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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69.0%
Doncaster
18.3%
Draw
12.7%
Forest Green

Expected Goals (xG)

2.13

Doncaster

vs
0.77

Forest Green

Markets

BTTS47.1%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.533.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.4%
1-0
12.0%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.8%
1-1
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
5.1%
4-0
4.7%
0-1
4.6%
2-2
3.7%
4-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).