Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.6%
Salernitana
34.5%
Draw
29.9%
Carrarese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Salernitana
vs
0.89
Carrarese
Markets
BTTS38.7%
Over 0.583.6%
Over 1.557.8%
Over 2.529.5%
Over 3.512.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.4%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
13.7%
0-1
12.1%
2-0
7.5%
2-1
6.7%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
3.0%
3-0
2.5%
3-1
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).