Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.9%
Guingamp
19.9%
Draw
28.2%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Guingamp
vs
1.45
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS65.9%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.546.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
5.2%
3-2
4.5%
3-0
4.3%
2-3
3.2%
0-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).