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HHT: 10CSV

28 Mar 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.3%
Dorking
23.8%
Draw
58.9%
Southend

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Dorking

vs
1.89

Southend

Markets

BTTS52.4%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
0-2
10.6%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
0-0
6.8%
0-3
6.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-1
4.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
0-4
3.2%
1-4
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).