Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →90.0%
Bayern Munich
7.6%
Draw
2.4%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
3.44
Bayern Munich
vs
0.51
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS38.7%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.590.7%
Over 2.575.3%
Over 3.555.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
13.1%
2-0
11.5%
4-0
11.3%
5-0
7.8%
3-1
6.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-1
3.9%
1-1
3.6%
0-0
2.2%
3-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).