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02 Feb 2021 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.7%
Rizespor
29.3%
Draw
23.0%
Kasimpasa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.73

Rizespor

vs
1.17

Kasimpasa

Markets

BTTS59.6%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
1-0
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.8%
0-1
3.6%
3-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).