Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.8%
Celta
24.6%
Draw
17.6%
Eibar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Celta
vs
0.81
Eibar
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
2-0
11.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.6%
3-0
6.5%
0-1
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).