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17 Apr 2022 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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4.2%
Bielefeld
11.0%
Draw
84.8%
Bayern Munich

Expected Goals (xG)

0.60

Bielefeld

vs
3.02

Bayern Munich

Markets

BTTS43.3%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.570.1%
Over 3.548.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-3
12.3%
0-2
12.2%
0-4
9.3%
0-1
7.7%
1-3
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-5
5.6%
1-4
5.6%
1-1
5.2%
1-5
3.4%
0-0
3.0%
2-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).