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17 Aug 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.2%
Wycombe
27.1%
Draw
49.7%
Birmingham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.76

Wycombe

vs
1.27

Birmingham

Markets

BTTS37.1%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.559.1%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.8%
0-0
12.1%
1-1
11.6%
1-0
11.0%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
4.8%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-2
3.0%
0-4
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).