Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.0%
Clermont
27.7%
Draw
32.3%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Clermont
vs
0.97
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.534.8%
Over 3.516.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
0-1
13.1%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
11.2%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).