Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.7%
East Kilbride
25.9%
Draw
41.4%
Spartans
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
East Kilbride
vs
1.81
Spartans
Markets
BTTS68.5%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.566.3%
Over 3.544.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
6.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.2%
0-0
5.0%
0-1
4.2%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).