Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.6%
Marseille
11.7%
Draw
8.7%
Nimes
Expected Goals (xG)
3.09
Marseille
vs
0.96
Nimes
Markets
BTTS58.7%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.577.0%
Over 3.557.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
2-1
8.0%
4-0
6.6%
4-1
6.4%
1-0
5.7%
1-1
4.9%
5-0
4.1%
3-2
4.0%
5-1
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).