Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.9%
Alaves
20.3%
Draw
66.8%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Alaves
vs
2.04
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.6%
0-1
12.1%
1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-3
6.5%
0-0
6.3%
1-0
4.5%
0-4
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
2-1
3.6%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).