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AHT: 10CSV

03 Mar 2020 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.7%
Chorley
28.6%
Draw
24.7%
Eastleigh

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Chorley

vs
0.99

Eastleigh

Markets

BTTS49.2%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
9.7%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
3-1
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).