Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.3%
Puszcza Niepołomice
19.5%
Draw
62.1%
Lech Poznań
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Puszcza Niepołomice
vs
2.48
Lech Poznań
Markets
BTTS67.8%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.589.9%
Over 2.573.1%
Over 3.552.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.1%
1-1
8.0%
1-3
7.5%
0-2
6.9%
2-2
6.0%
0-3
5.7%
2-3
5.0%
0-1
4.9%
2-1
4.8%
1-4
4.7%
0-4
3.5%
2-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).