Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.0%
Castellon
18.7%
Draw
13.3%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Castellon
vs
0.84
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
8.9%
3-0
8.4%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
4.8%
4-0
4.6%
0-1
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
4-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).