Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.3%
Catanzaro
14.2%
Draw
6.5%
Lecco
Expected Goals (xG)
2.77
Catanzaro
vs
0.72
Lecco
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.567.6%
Over 3.546.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.7%
3-0
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-0
7.5%
1-1
6.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-0
4.1%
0-0
3.7%
2-2
3.0%
5-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).