Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.5%
Fleetwood Town
26.3%
Draw
42.2%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.32
Notts County
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.522.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
0-1
12.3%
1-0
10.3%
1-2
8.5%
0-0
8.4%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).