Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.5%
Slough Town
21.6%
Draw
7.9%
Welling United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Slough Town
vs
0.37
Welling United
Markets
BTTS25.2%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
21.7%
2-0
18.1%
0-0
12.4%
3-0
10.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-1
6.8%
0-1
5.0%
4-0
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
5-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).