Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.6%
Hertha
22.9%
Draw
19.5%
Karlsruhe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Hertha
vs
1.13
Karlsruhe
Markets
BTTS60.1%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.539.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.7%
1-0
7.5%
3-1
6.8%
3-0
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
0-0
5.1%
3-2
3.8%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).