Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.7%
Auxerre
25.8%
Draw
23.5%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Auxerre
vs
0.85
Metz
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
10.3%
0-0
9.7%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
0-2
3.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).