Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.3%
Burgos
30.4%
Draw
23.4%
Cadiz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Burgos
vs
0.74
Cadiz
Markets
BTTS36.0%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.556.9%
Over 2.530.0%
Over 3.512.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.4%
0-0
14.6%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.1%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).