Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.4%
Chelsea
11.7%
Draw
4.9%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
3.15
Chelsea
vs
0.74
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.590.7%
Over 2.574.6%
Over 3.554.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.7%
2-0
10.1%
4-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
4-1
6.2%
1-0
5.8%
1-1
5.4%
5-0
5.3%
5-1
3.9%
3-2
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).