Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.8%
Auxerre
29.2%
Draw
37.1%
Nice
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Auxerre
vs
1.09
Nice
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.561.9%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.6%
1-1
13.1%
1-0
12.8%
0-0
11.8%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
0-3
2.6%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).