Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.3%
Thun
14.3%
Draw
6.4%
Zürich
Expected Goals (xG)
2.95
Thun
vs
0.82
Zürich
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.572.7%
Over 3.552.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.0%
3-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-0
7.3%
1-1
6.6%
4-1
6.0%
1-0
5.8%
5-0
4.3%
5-1
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).