Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.7%
Oxford
20.1%
Draw
26.2%
Peterboro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
Oxford
vs
1.32
Peterboro
Markets
BTTS62.5%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.542.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
2-2
6.3%
0-1
5.6%
3-0
4.8%
3-2
4.2%
0-2
3.2%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).