Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.1%
Rochdale
22.6%
Draw
10.4%
Altrincham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Rochdale
vs
0.60
Altrincham
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
2-0
14.8%
1-1
10.3%
0-0
9.3%
3-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-0
4.3%
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).