Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.7%
Blackpool
9.3%
Draw
7.0%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
3.76
Blackpool
vs
1.14
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS66.3%
Over 0.599.4%
Over 1.595.5%
Over 2.586.7%
Over 3.572.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
7.5%
4-1
7.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-0
6.2%
2-1
6.0%
5-1
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
5-0
4.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-2
4.0%
2-2
3.4%
1-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).