Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.0%
Sevilla
16.2%
Draw
70.7%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Sevilla
vs
2.71
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS63.1%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.589.8%
Over 2.573.6%
Over 3.553.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.9%
1-3
8.1%
0-2
8.0%
0-3
7.2%
1-1
6.8%
0-1
5.6%
1-4
5.5%
2-2
5.0%
0-4
4.9%
2-3
4.5%
2-1
3.7%
2-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).