Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.6%
Monaco
20.9%
Draw
22.5%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Monaco
vs
1.19
Lorient
Markets
BTTS60.0%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.539.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.5%
0-1
5.1%
3-2
3.9%
0-0
3.8%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).