Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.9%
Rio Ave
24.1%
Draw
38.0%
Casa Pia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Rio Ave
vs
1.42
Casa Pia
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
0-1
8.9%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.9%
0-0
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).