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Forfar

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AHT: 00CSV

09 Dec 2017

Alloa

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.4%
Forfar
26.0%
Draw
58.5%
Alloa

Expected Goals (xG)

0.71

Forfar

vs
1.62

Alloa

Markets

BTTS41.5%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.0%
0-2
12.8%
1-1
11.9%
0-0
10.5%
1-2
9.1%
0-3
6.9%
1-0
6.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).