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20 Apr 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.4%
FC Koln
30.3%
Draw
17.3%
Preußen Münster

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

FC Koln

vs
0.68

Preußen Münster

Markets

BTTS37.9%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.561.9%
Over 2.533.7%
Over 3.515.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.5%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
12.1%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).