Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.5%
Dag and Red
28.3%
Draw
53.3%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Dag and Red
vs
1.49
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
1-1
13.0%
0-2
11.5%
0-0
11.3%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.0%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
3.5%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).