Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.7%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
29.9%
Draw
48.4%
Aston Villa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Wolverhampton Wanderers
vs
1.46
Aston Villa
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-1
11.9%
0-0
11.0%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).