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29 Sept 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.0%
AC London
25.2%
Draw
30.8%
WSG Tirol

Expected Goals (xG)

1.70

AC London

vs
1.40

WSG Tirol

Markets

BTTS62.4%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
5.5%
0-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.7%
3-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).