Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.3%
Guingamp
24.8%
Draw
39.9%
Le Mans
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Guingamp
vs
1.31
Le Mans
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
0-1
11.6%
1-0
10.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
0-0
7.0%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.1%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).