Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.5%
Wigan
26.7%
Draw
26.8%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Wigan
vs
0.87
Crewe
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.561.9%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.4%
0-0
10.7%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).