Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.0%
Newcastle
23.7%
Draw
19.3%
Tottenham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Newcastle
vs
1.14
Tottenham
Markets
BTTS60.7%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.6%
1-0
7.1%
3-1
6.8%
3-0
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
0-0
5.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-1
3.5%
0-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).