Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.8%
Betis
25.6%
Draw
17.6%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Betis
vs
0.78
Alaves
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
11.9%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).