Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.2%
Oxford
30.2%
Draw
47.7%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Oxford
vs
1.34
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.2%
1-1
13.8%
0-0
12.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).