Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.8%
Ajaccio
18.4%
Draw
72.8%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
0.49
Ajaccio
vs
1.94
Lille
Markets
BTTS32.6%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.6%
0-2
16.6%
0-3
10.7%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
1-1
7.9%
1-3
5.2%
0-4
5.2%
1-0
4.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-1
2.0%
0-5
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).