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DHT: 00CSV

21 Oct 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.6%
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28.7%
Draw
49.7%
AFC Wimbledon

Expected Goals (xG)

0.70

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vs
1.24

AFC Wimbledon

Markets

BTTS35.4%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.557.4%
Over 2.530.9%
Over 3.513.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
18.3%
0-0
13.7%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
11.0%
1-0
10.6%
1-2
7.8%
0-3
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
2-0
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-2
2.7%
0-4
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).