Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.8%
Estoril
19.8%
Draw
14.4%
Alverca
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Estoril
vs
1.01
Alverca
Markets
BTTS57.8%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
1-1
9.1%
1-0
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
3-0
7.4%
2-2
4.9%
4-1
4.3%
4-0
4.3%
0-0
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).