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HHT: 20

27 Dec 2025 · 20:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.8%
Estoril
19.8%
Draw
14.4%
Alverca

Expected Goals (xG)

2.31

Estoril

vs
1.01

Alverca

Markets

BTTS57.8%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
1-1
9.1%
1-0
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
3-0
7.4%
2-2
4.9%
4-1
4.3%
4-0
4.3%
0-0
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
3-2
3.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).