Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.6%
Parma
18.1%
Draw
7.3%
Cosenza
Expected Goals (xG)
2.25
Parma
vs
0.58
Cosenza
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.9%
1-0
12.5%
3-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
1-1
8.5%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-0
2.8%
0-1
2.7%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).