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28 Aug 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.9%
Oxford City
19.0%
Draw
66.0%
Boreham Wood

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Oxford City

vs
2.45

Boreham Wood

Markets

BTTS62.1%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.587.8%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.547.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-1
8.4%
1-3
7.7%
0-3
6.9%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.3%
1-4
4.7%
2-3
4.3%
2-1
4.3%
0-4
4.2%
0-0
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).