Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.3%
Mirandes
26.6%
Draw
50.1%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Mirandes
vs
1.44
Elche
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.2%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
10.1%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).