Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.5%
Schalke 04
22.1%
Draw
60.4%
RB Leipzig
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Schalke 04
vs
2.05
RB Leipzig
Markets
BTTS56.4%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.7%
0-1
8.9%
1-3
6.8%
0-3
6.6%
0-0
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
2-1
5.0%
1-0
4.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).